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Valuation: Many ways and many results

It certainly appears that currently, stock market “valuation” doesn’t matter to most investors in the market. History says that at some point, valuation will matter once again and there are any number of measures which are indicating prices are higher than...

Emotional Investing by Generation

Jimmy Dugan, the manager of the Rockford Peaches (played by Tom Hanks), famously told his crew of   women ballplayers in “A League of Their Own” that “There’s no crying in baseball!” It seems, however, there’s a LOT of crying in investing – at least in some...

Births per Death and Why it Matters

Over very long periods—decades or centuries— economic growth tracks closely with population growth. It can deviate for a while, but ultimately higher production requires more producers, and higher consumption requires more consumers. So, this chart matters…   The...

The Market: A Short Look back

If you went back in time to the start of 2020 and predicted the stock market would be up almost 35% over the year-and-a-half, most people would have probably believed you.  After all, other than a few minor bumps the market had been on a solidly upward trajectory over...